Thursday, October 23, 2008
The Bradley Effect
In class this week we had HW dealing with the Bradley effect. For some who don't know what that is, it is named after Tom Bradley, a mayor in California. He ran for governor and the polls showed he would win easily. It ended up that he lost. The main reason was because people lied to pollsters saying that they would vote or note vote for a black candidate. Then, at the last minute they changed their vote when it came down to election day. I hope this doesn't affect Obama in the election, although I think it will a little bit. I don't think it will cost him the election though. He may just lose a few points in the polls. What do you think?
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I really hope that it doesn't have an impact on the election, be it positive or negative. I'd hate to think someone would be foolish enough to vote for Obama just because he is an African American or vice versa. I don't think that there will be much of a Bradley effect this time around. For one, as the article noted, the idea of the Bradley effect itself is dubious. Moreover, I'd hope that our nation has progressed in terms of race in the last 26 years. Time will tell!
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